The summary assessment of the prevalence rate morbidity on main statistical indices
- 作者: Savilov E.D.1,2, Kolesnikov S.I.1,3,4, Anganova E.V.1,2, Astafev V.A.1,2
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隶属关系:
- Scientific Centre for Family Health and Human Reproduction Problems
- State Medical Academy of Postgraduate Education
- Lomonosov Moscow State University
- Moscow, 119991, Russian Federation
- 期: 卷 97, 编号 3 (2018)
- 页面: 274-278
- 栏目: METHODS OF HYGIENIC AND EXPERIMENTAL INVESTIGATIONS
- ##submission.datePublished##: 14.10.2020
- URL: https://rjsocmed.com/0016-9900/article/view/640378
- DOI: https://doi.org/10.47470/0016-9900-2018-97-3-274-278
- ID: 640378
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详细
The purpose of the research is the rationale of expansion of using the basic statistical indices in performing the epidemiological analysis.
Methods. All the statistical indices (multiyear index of the prevalence rate, mean square deviation, mean the multiyear pace of the gain in the prevalence rate) are ranged (from minimum to maximum) during the period of the study; all the indices are added together in the form of a sum of places of the specific index or objects. Generalized coefficient (in percentages) based on the obtained integral indices of the epidemic process does not distort the standard value of mean indices. The similarity of the distributions being compared with dynamic series (which was detected using correlation analysis) attests to this.
Conclusion. This approach can be used in scientific research not only to assess the prevalence rate but also for an in-depth assessment and other key epidemiological indices (incidence, mortality and so on), which allow evaluating the state of health or illness when allocating or comparison groups of risk, areas of risk and time of risk.
作者简介
Evgeniy Savilov
Scientific Centre for Family Health and Human Reproduction Problems; State Medical Academy of Postgraduate Education
编辑信件的主要联系方式.
Email: savilov47@gmail.com
MD, Ph.D., DSci., prof., Chief researcher of the Laboratory of epidemiologically and socially significant infections of the Scientific center of problems of family health and human reproduction, head of the Department of Epidemiology and Microbiology of the Irkutsk State Medical Academy of postgraduate education, Irkutsk, 664003, Russian Federation.
e-mail: savilov47@gmail.com
俄罗斯联邦S. Kolesnikov
Scientific Centre for Family Health and Human Reproduction Problems; Lomonosov Moscow State University; Moscow, 119991, Russian Federation
Email: noemail@neicon.ru
俄罗斯联邦
E. Anganova
Scientific Centre for Family Health and Human Reproduction Problems; State Medical Academy of Postgraduate Education
Email: noemail@neicon.ru
俄罗斯联邦
V. Astafev
Scientific Centre for Family Health and Human Reproduction Problems; State Medical Academy of Postgraduate Education
Email: noemail@neicon.ru
俄罗斯联邦
参考
- Pokrovskiy V.I., Dalmatov V.V., Stasenko V.L., Briko N.D., Botvinkin A.D., Brusina E.B., Efimov G.E., Zueva L.P., Kovalishena O.V., Mindlina A.Ya., Ogarkov P.I., Savilov E.D., Fel’dblyum I.V., Shaposhnikov A.A., Shkarin V.V. Project of passports of scientific specialty 14.00.30 – epidemiology. Epidemiologiya i infektsionnye bolezni. 2009; (5): 53-6. (in Russian)
- Kulesh D.V., Kolesnikov S.I., Dolgikh V.V., Shoyko S.V., Abashin N.N., Lebedeva L.N. Medical, epidemiological and methodological approaches to forecasting of indicators that characterize the state of health of adolescents at the present stage. Vestnik Rossiyskoy akademii meditsinskikh nauk. 2013; (6): 9-14. (in Russian)
- Sazykin V.L., Son I.M. Integrated assessment of the epidemiological situation of tuberculosis in Russia. Problemy tuberkuleza i bolezni legkikh. 2006; (10): 65-9. (in Russian)
- Savilov E.D., Alekseeva G.I., Mal’tseva M.V., Astaf’ev V.A., Kravchenko A.F., Burtseva E.I. The methodical approach to the evaluation of the epidemiological situation by generalized parameter. Epidemiologiya i infektsionnye bolezni. 2011; (1): 17-20. (in Russian)
- Astaf’ev V.A., Savilov E.D., Zorkal’tseva E.Yu., Mal’tseva M.V., Ogarkov O.B., Pogorelov V.I. Assessment of the epidemiological situation of tuberculosis in the Irkutsk region. Sibirskiy meditsinskiy zhurnal (Irkutsk). 2011; (6): 199-202. (in Russian)
- Savilov E.D., Astaf’ev V.A., Zhdanova S.N., Zarudnev E.A. Epidemiological analysis: Methods of statistical processing of the material [Epidemiologicheskiy analiz: Metody statisticheskoy obrabotki materiala]. Novosibirsk: Nauka-Tsentr; 2011. (in Russian)
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